Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 21–24 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 33.0% 30.8–35.3% 30.2–35.9% 29.6–36.5% 28.6–37.6%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 17.4% 15.7–19.3% 15.2–19.8% 14.8–20.3% 14.0–21.3%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.8% 8.5–11.4% 8.1–11.8% 7.8–12.2% 7.3–13.0%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.3% 6.2–8.7% 5.9–9.1% 5.6–9.4% 5.1–10.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.8% 5.7–8.1% 5.4–8.5% 5.2–8.8% 4.7–9.5%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.2% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.8% 3.8–7.1% 3.4–7.7%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.4–6.5% 3.0–7.1%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.3% 2.0–4.6% 1.7–5.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 87% 95% Median
5 9% 9% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 96% 97% Median
3 1.0% 1.0%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 99.3% 99.3% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 57% 57% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 30% 30%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 99.3% 99.3% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 57% 57% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations