Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 18–21 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 30.0% 27.9–32.2% 27.3–32.8% 26.8–33.4% 25.8–34.5%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 21.8% 20.0–23.9% 19.5–24.5% 19.0–25.0% 18.2–26.0%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 11.1% 9.8–12.7% 9.4–13.2% 9.1–13.6% 8.4–14.4%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.3% 6.2–8.7% 5.9–9.1% 5.7–9.4% 5.2–10.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.8% 4.9–7.1% 4.6–7.5% 4.4–7.8% 3.9–8.4%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.0–6.7% 3.8–7.0% 3.4–7.6%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.7% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–5.0% 2.5–5.3% 2.2–5.8%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.7% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–5.0% 2.5–5.3% 2.2–5.8%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.8% 2.0–4.1% 1.9–4.3% 1.6–4.8%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–2.8% 0.7–3.2%
Zeleni Slovenije (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6% 0.2–1.9%
Naša dežela (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.1–1.7%
Konkretno (RE) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Naša dežela (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konkretno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 16% 100%  
4 82% 84% Median
5 2% 2% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 34% 100%  
3 66% 66% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 79% 79% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Last Result, Median
1 48% 48%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Naša dežela (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konkretno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konkretno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 79% 79% Median
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations