Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) |
0.0% |
30.2% |
28.1–32.5% |
27.5–33.2% |
27.0–33.7% |
26.0–34.8% |
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) |
0.0% |
20.9% |
19.0–22.9% |
18.5–23.5% |
18.0–24.0% |
17.2–25.0% |
Socialni demokrati (S&D) |
0.0% |
9.9% |
8.6–11.5% |
8.3–11.9% |
8.0–12.3% |
7.4–13.1% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) |
0.0% |
7.0% |
6.0–8.4% |
5.7–8.8% |
5.4–9.1% |
4.9–9.8% |
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
6.8% |
5.7–8.1% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.2–8.8% |
4.7–9.5% |
Levica (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
5.7% |
4.7–6.9% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.2–7.6% |
3.8–8.2% |
Resni.ca (NI) |
0.0% |
5.7% |
4.7–6.9% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.2–7.6% |
3.8–8.2% |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–4.0% |
2.2–4.3% |
2.0–4.6% |
1.7–5.1% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.1–3.7% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.8–4.2% |
1.5–4.7% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) |
0.0% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.2% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.5–3.7% |
1.2–4.2% |
Naša dežela (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.0% |
0.0–1.3% |
Konkretno (RE) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0–0.3% |
0.0–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
10% |
100% |
|
4 |
88% |
90% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
Majority |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
54% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
45% |
46% |
|
4 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.9% |
99.6% |
Median |
2 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
33% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
67% |
67% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
37% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
63% |
63% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
83% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
17% |
17% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Resni.ca (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
6% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Naša dežela (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Konkretno (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konkretno (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialni demokrati (S&D) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Levica (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Resni.ca (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.9% |
99.6% |
Median |
2 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
83% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
17% |
17% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
37% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
63% |
63% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Resni.ca (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
6% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Mediana
- Commissioner(s): Delo
- Fieldwork period: 2–5 December 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 724
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.41%