Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 13–15 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 34.3% 32.0–36.6% 31.4–37.3% 30.9–37.9% 29.8–39.0%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 23.3% 21.3–25.4% 20.8–26.0% 20.3–26.6% 19.4–27.6%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 11.1% 9.7–12.8% 9.4–13.3% 9.0–13.7% 8.4–14.5%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 8.1% 7.0–9.6% 6.6–10.0% 6.3–10.4% 5.8–11.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.7% 6.6–9.2% 6.2–9.6% 6.0–9.9% 5.4–10.7%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.6% 2.9–5.9% 2.5–6.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 3.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.7–5.6% 2.3–6.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.3% 1.7–3.2% 1.5–3.5% 1.4–3.7% 1.2–4.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 4% 100%  
4 89% 96% Median
5 7% 7% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 35% 100%  
3 65% 65% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 74% 74% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 57% 57% Median
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 74% 74% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations