Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 21–23 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 33.3% 30.5–36.2% 29.8–37.0% 29.1–37.7% 27.8–39.1%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 19.2% 17.0–21.7% 16.4–22.5% 15.9–23.1% 14.9–24.3%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 10.4% 8.7–12.4% 8.3–13.0% 7.9–13.5% 7.2–14.5%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.3% 5.0–8.0% 4.7–8.4% 4.4–8.9% 3.9–9.7%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.0% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0% 3.3–7.3% 2.9–8.2%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0% 3.3–7.3% 2.9–8.2%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.0% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0% 3.3–7.3% 2.9–8.2%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.1% 3.1–5.5% 2.9–6.0% 2.7–6.3% 2.2–7.1%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–3.9% 1.3–4.2% 1.1–4.8%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.4% 1.0–3.7% 0.8–4.3%
Zeleni Slovenije (*) 0.0% 1.5% 1.0–2.5% 0.9–2.8% 0.7–3.1% 0.5–3.7%
Naša prihodnost (*) 0.0% 1.5% 1.0–2.5% 0.9–2.8% 0.7–3.1% 0.5–3.7%
Naša dežela (*) 0.0% 0.9% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0% 0.4–2.2% 0.2–2.7%
Konkretno (RE) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.0% 0.0–1.2% 0.0–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Naša prihodnost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Naša dežela (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konkretno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 58% 99.9% Median
5 42% 42% Majority
6 0.5% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 50% 99.9% Median
3 50% 50%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 93% 99.9% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.5% 1.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Naša prihodnost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša prihodnost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Naša dežela (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konkretno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konkretno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 93% 99.9% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations