Opinion Poll by Parsifal SC for Nova24TV, 7–10 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 31.4% 29.0–33.9% 28.3–34.6% 27.7–35.3% 26.6–36.5%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 17.2% 15.4–19.4% 14.8–20.0% 14.4–20.6% 13.5–21.6%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 10.3% 8.8–12.1% 8.4–12.6% 8.0–13.0% 7.4–13.9%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.3% 6.1–8.9% 5.7–9.4% 5.5–9.8% 4.9–10.6%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.3% 5.2–7.8% 4.8–8.2% 4.6–8.6% 4.1–9.3%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 5.9% 4.8–7.4% 4.5–7.8% 4.3–8.2% 3.8–8.9%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.7% 3.7–6.1% 3.5–6.4% 3.2–6.8% 2.9–7.5%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 3.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.7–5.4% 2.5–5.7% 2.2–6.4%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 3.5% 2.7–4.7% 2.5–5.0% 2.3–5.3% 1.9–6.0%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.6% 1.9–3.7% 1.8–4.0% 1.6–4.3% 1.3–4.8%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.5% 0.4–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 72% 97% Median
5 25% 25% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 95% 99.2% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.9% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 82% 82% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 41%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 82% 82% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations