Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 22–24 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 30.4% 27.8–33.3% 27.1–34.0% 26.5–34.8% 25.2–36.1%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 21.8% 19.5–24.4% 18.8–25.1% 18.3–25.7% 17.2–27.0%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.5% 8.0–11.5% 7.5–12.0% 7.2–12.5% 6.5–13.5%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.0% 5.7–8.7% 5.3–9.2% 5.0–9.6% 4.5–10.5%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.3% 5.1–8.0% 4.8–8.5% 4.5–8.9% 3.9–9.8%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.9% 4.7–7.6% 4.4–8.0% 4.1–8.4% 3.6–9.3%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.2% 3.2–5.7% 3.0–6.1% 2.8–6.4% 2.3–7.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 3.8% 2.9–5.2% 2.6–5.6% 2.4–5.9% 2.0–6.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.5–4.7% 2.3–5.1% 2.1–5.4% 1.8–6.1%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.7% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–3.0% 0.9–3.3% 0.7–3.9%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.3% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5% 0.6–2.7% 0.4–3.3%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9% 0.3–2.1% 0.2–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 8% 100%  
4 82% 92% Median
5 10% 10% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 19% 100%  
3 77% 81% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98.6% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Last Result, Median
1 29% 29%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Last Result, Median
1 29% 29%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98.6% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Last Result, Median
1 29% 29%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations