Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 12–14 May 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 34.6% | 32.0–37.4% | 31.3–38.2% | 30.6–38.9% | 29.4–40.2% |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0.0% | 23.6% | 21.3–26.2% | 20.7–26.9% | 20.1–27.5% | 19.1–28.8% |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0.0% | 10.4% | 8.9–12.4% | 8.4–12.9% | 8.1–13.4% | 7.4–14.4% |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 8.7% | 7.2–10.5% | 6.8–11.0% | 6.5–11.4% | 5.9–12.4% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.9% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.3–9.0% | 5.0–9.4% | 4.5–10.3% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.7% | 4.6–7.3% | 4.3–7.7% | 4.0–8.1% | 3.5–8.9% |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.0–3.9% | 1.8–4.3% | 1.6–4.6% | 1.4–5.2% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.2–3.3% | 1.1–3.6% | 0.9–4.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 84% | 96% | Median |
| 5 | 12% | 12% | Majority |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 31% | 100% | |
| 3 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.8% | 99.0% | Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 70% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 30% | 30% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.8% | 99.0% | Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): Dnevnik
- Fieldwork period: 12–14 May 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 508
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.72%