Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 19–22 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 30.3% 27.8–33.1% 27.1–33.8% 26.4–34.5% 25.3–35.8%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 25.1% 22.7–27.7% 22.1–28.5% 21.5–29.1% 20.4–30.4%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.2% 6.8–10.0% 6.4–10.5% 6.1–11.0% 5.5–11.9%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.4% 5.2–8.1% 4.9–8.5% 4.6–8.9% 4.1–9.8%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.4% 4.3–7.0% 4.0–7.4% 3.7–7.8% 3.3–8.6%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.2% 4.1–6.7% 3.8–7.2% 3.6–7.5% 3.1–8.3%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.2% 3.3–5.6% 3.0–6.0% 2.8–6.4% 2.4–7.1%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.8% 2.9–5.2% 2.7–5.5% 2.5–5.9% 2.1–6.6%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.6% 2.7–4.9% 2.5–5.3% 2.3–5.7% 1.9–6.3%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.6% 1.2–3.9% 1.0–4.5%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.4% 1.1–3.7% 0.9–4.3%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.9% 0.8–3.1% 0.6–3.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 7% 100%  
4 86% 93% Median
5 7% 7% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.8% 100%  
3 73% 99.2% Median
4 27% 27%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 92% 92% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Last Result, Median
1 39% 39%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 19% 19%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 20%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 20%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 92% 92% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations