Opinion Poll by Valicon for TSmedia, 23–26 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 27.5% 25.9–29.1% 25.5–29.6% 25.1–30.0% 24.4–30.8%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 19.9% 18.5–21.4% 18.1–21.8% 17.8–22.2% 17.2–22.9%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.9% 8.0–10.0% 7.7–10.3% 7.5–10.6% 7.0–11.1%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 7.2% 6.4–8.2% 6.1–8.5% 5.9–8.7% 5.5–9.3%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.7% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9% 5.4–8.2% 5.0–8.6%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 4.0–5.6% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.0% 3.4–6.5%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.6% 3.9–5.4% 3.7–5.6% 3.6–5.9% 3.3–6.3%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.6% 3.9–5.4% 3.7–5.6% 3.6–5.9% 3.3–6.3%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.6% 3.5–5.8% 3.2–6.2%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.8% 3.2–4.6% 3.0–4.8% 2.9–5.0% 2.6–5.4%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.4%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 0.9–2.8%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–1.9% 0.6–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 86% 87% Median
5 0.1% 0.1% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 35% 100%  
3 65% 65% Median
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 93% 93% Median
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 54% 54% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 54% 54% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 93% 93% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations