Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 9–11 June 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 32.4% 29.9–35.1% 29.2–35.8% 28.6–36.5% 27.5–37.8%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 23.3% 21.1–25.7% 20.4–26.4% 19.9–27.0% 18.9–28.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 10.1% 8.6–11.9% 8.2–12.4% 7.8–12.9% 7.2–13.8%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.0% 7.6–10.7% 7.2–11.2% 6.9–11.7% 6.2–12.6%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.8% 5.6–8.4% 5.2–8.8% 5.0–9.2% 4.4–10.0%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.6% 5.4–8.2% 5.1–8.6% 4.8–9.0% 4.3–9.8%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.6% 2.0–4.9% 1.6–5.6%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.3% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.5–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 24% 100%  
4 75% 76% Median
5 1.5% 1.5% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 47% 100%  
3 53% 53% Median
4 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 89% 89% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 89% 89% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations