Opinion Poll by Valicon for TSmedia, 27–30 June 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 26.9% 25.4–28.5% 24.9–28.9% 24.6–29.3% 23.9–30.1%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 18.5% 17.2–19.9% 16.9–20.3% 16.5–20.7% 15.9–21.4%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 10.2% 9.2–11.3% 8.9–11.6% 8.7–11.9% 8.2–12.5%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 8.1% 7.2–9.1% 7.0–9.4% 6.8–9.7% 6.4–10.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.4% 4.5–7.8%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.3–6.3% 4.1–6.5% 3.8–6.9%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.5–5.7% 3.2–6.2%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.5–5.7% 3.2–6.2%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.4–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.0–5.8%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.5% 2.3–4.9%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–2.8% 1.1–3.1%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.8%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 4 4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.7% 100%  
4 99.3% 99.3% Median
5 0.1% 0.1% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 20% 100%  
3 80% 80% Median
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.2% 100% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 17% 17%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.2% 100% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations