Opinion Poll by IJEK for Utrip Družbe, 3–9 July 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 26.5% | 24.1–29.1% | 23.4–29.8% | 22.9–30.5% | 21.8–31.7% |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0.0% | 22.2% | 20.0–24.7% | 19.4–25.4% | 18.9–26.0% | 17.8–27.3% |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0.0% | 9.5% | 8.0–11.3% | 7.6–11.9% | 7.2–12.3% | 6.6–13.3% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 7.0% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.4–9.1% | 5.1–9.5% | 4.5–10.3% |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0.0% | 7.0% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.4–9.1% | 5.1–9.5% | 4.5–10.3% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 4.8% | 3.8–6.3% | 3.5–6.7% | 3.3–7.0% | 2.9–7.8% |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 4.8% | 3.8–6.3% | 3.5–6.7% | 3.3–7.0% | 2.9–7.8% |
| Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.3–4.3% | 2.1–4.7% | 1.9–5.0% | 1.6–5.6% |
| Zeleni Slovenije (RE) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.0–3.9% | 1.8–4.2% | 1.6–4.5% | 1.3–5.1% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.5–3.7% | 1.3–4.0% | 1.1–4.6% |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.5–3.7% | 1.3–4.0% | 1.1–4.6% |
| Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.2–3.3% | 1.1–3.5% | 0.8–4.1% |
| Glas upokojencev (*) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.6–2.3% | 0.5–2.5% | 0.4–3.0% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% | 0.4–2.2% | 0.3–2.7% |
| Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.4–1.8% | 0.3–2.0% | 0.2–2.4% |
| FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Zeleni Slovenije (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Glas upokojencev (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 30% | 30% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 92% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Resni.ca (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 88% | 88% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 6% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Zeleni Slovenije (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Glas upokojencev (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 92% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 6% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Resni.ca (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 88% | 88% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IJEK
- Commissioner(s): Utrip Družbe
- Fieldwork period: 3–9 July 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 517
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.80%