Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 21–24 July 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 33.1% 30.5–35.8% 29.7–36.6% 29.1–37.3% 27.9–38.6%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 24.4% 22.1–27.0% 21.4–27.7% 20.9–28.3% 19.8–29.6%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 7.3% 6.0–9.0% 5.6–9.5% 5.3–9.9% 4.8–10.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.7% 5.5–8.3% 5.1–8.8% 4.8–9.2% 4.3–10.1%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.9% 4.8–7.5% 4.4–7.9% 4.2–8.3% 3.7–9.1%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.9% 3.9–6.4% 3.6–6.8% 3.4–7.2% 2.9–7.9%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.1% 3.2–5.5% 2.9–5.9% 2.7–6.2% 2.3–7.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 3.9% 3.0–5.3% 2.8–5.7% 2.6–6.0% 2.2–6.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.0% 2.2–4.2% 2.0–4.5% 1.8–4.8% 1.5–5.5%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7–3.5% 1.5–3.8% 1.4–4.1% 1.1–4.7%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.2–2.8% 1.1–3.1% 0.9–3.3% 0.7–3.9%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.0–1.1% 0.0–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.2% 100%  
4 72% 99.8% Median
5 28% 28% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.8% 100%  
3 93% 99.2% Median
4 7% 7%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100% Last Result
1 78% 78% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 38% 100% Last Result
1 62% 62% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100% Last Result
1 78% 78% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations