Opinion Poll by Valicon for TSmedia, 25–28 July 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 24.2% 22.7–25.7% 22.3–26.2% 22.0–26.6% 21.3–27.3%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 21.6% 20.2–23.1% 19.8–23.5% 19.4–23.9% 18.8–24.6%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.8% 8.8–10.9% 8.5–11.2% 8.3–11.5% 7.8–12.0%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 8.7% 7.7–9.7% 7.5–10.0% 7.3–10.3% 6.8–10.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.9% 6.1–7.9% 5.9–8.2% 5.7–8.4% 5.3–8.9%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.4% 4.7–6.3% 4.5–6.6% 4.3–6.8% 4.0–7.2%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.3% 3.7–5.1% 3.5–5.4% 3.4–5.6% 3.1–6.0%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.8–5.5%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.8–4.5% 2.6–4.6% 2.4–5.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.5% 2.2–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 1.8–4.2%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.8% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.2%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6% 1.0–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 88% 100% Median
4 12% 12%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 93% 94% Median
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 88% 88% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations