Opinion Poll by IJEK for Utrip Družbe, 1–7 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 25.1% 22.7–27.7% 22.0–28.4% 21.4–29.0% 20.3–30.3%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 18.8% 16.7–21.2% 16.2–21.9% 15.7–22.5% 14.7–23.7%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 10.8% 9.2–12.8% 8.8–13.4% 8.4–13.9% 7.7–14.9%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.6% 6.3–9.4% 5.9–9.8% 5.6–10.3% 5.0–11.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.6% 5.4–8.3% 5.0–8.7% 4.7–9.1% 4.2–10.0%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.2% 5.0–7.8% 4.7–8.3% 4.4–8.7% 3.9–9.5%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.4% 4.3–7.0% 4.0–7.4% 3.7–7.8% 3.3–8.6%
Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.0% 2.2–4.2% 2.0–4.6% 1.8–4.9% 1.5–5.6%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.6% 1.9–3.8% 1.7–4.1% 1.5–4.4% 1.2–5.0%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 2.6% 1.9–3.8% 1.7–4.1% 1.5–4.4% 1.2–5.0%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.4% 1.1–3.7% 0.9–4.2%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.9% 0.8–3.1% 0.6–3.7%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.9% 0.8–3.1% 0.6–3.7%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.4–3.1%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.4–3.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.4–3.1%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 0.6% 0.3–1.3% 0.3–1.6% 0.2–1.8% 0.1–2.2%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.3% 0.1–1.4% 0.1–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 48% 99.8%  
4 52% 52% Median
5 0% 0% Majority

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 54% 98% Median
3 44% 44%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 82% 100% Median
2 18% 18%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 90% 90% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Last Result, Median
1 39% 39%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 51% 51% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 82% 100% Median
2 18% 18%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 51% 51% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations