Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 4–7 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 29.5% 27.1–32.2% 26.4–32.9% 25.8–33.6% 24.6–34.9%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 24.4% 22.1–26.9% 21.4–27.6% 20.9–28.2% 19.8–29.5%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.6% 7.2–10.3% 6.8–10.8% 6.5–11.3% 5.9–12.2%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.7% 4.6–7.2% 4.3–7.7% 4.0–8.0% 3.6–8.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.3% 4.3–6.8% 4.0–7.2% 3.7–7.6% 3.3–8.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.1% 4.1–6.6% 3.8–7.0% 3.6–7.4% 3.1–8.1%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.0% 3.9–6.4% 3.6–6.8% 3.4–7.2% 3.0–7.9%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.8% 3.8–6.2% 3.5–6.6% 3.2–7.0% 2.8–7.7%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.2% 2.4–4.5% 2.2–4.8% 2.0–5.1% 1.7–5.8%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.0% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.6% 1.9–4.9% 1.6–5.5%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.9% 1.3–2.9% 1.2–3.2% 1.0–3.5% 0.8–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 84% 95% Median
5 11% 11% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.6% 100%  
3 79% 99.4% Median
4 20% 20%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 62% 100% Last Result, Median
1 38% 38%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 62% 100% Last Result, Median
1 38% 38%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations