Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 11–13 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 35.7% 32.8–38.7% 32.0–39.6% 31.3–40.3% 30.0–41.8%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 25.3% 22.8–28.2% 22.1–29.0% 21.5–29.7% 20.3–31.0%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 11.1% 9.3–13.2% 8.9–13.8% 8.4–14.4% 7.7–15.5%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 8.5% 7.0–10.5% 6.6–11.1% 6.2–11.5% 5.6–12.5%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.6% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.0% 5.5–10.5% 4.9–11.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.2% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5% 4.3–8.9% 3.8–9.8%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.5% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.1–1.7% 0.1–2.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 0.5% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.1–1.7% 0.1–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 8% 100%  
4 81% 92% Median
5 11% 11% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 28% 100%  
3 71% 72% Median
4 1.0% 1.0%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98.7% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100% Last Result
1 72% 72% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 43% 43%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98.7% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 43% 43%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations