Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 18–21 August 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 31.5% 28.9–34.3% 28.2–35.1% 27.5–35.8% 26.3–37.2%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 22.0% 19.7–24.6% 19.1–25.3% 18.5–25.9% 17.5–27.2%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 10.0% 8.4–11.9% 8.0–12.5% 7.6–13.0% 6.9–14.0%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.4% 5.2–8.1% 4.9–8.6% 4.6–9.0% 4.0–9.8%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.0% 4.8–7.6% 4.5–8.1% 4.2–8.5% 3.7–9.4%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.4% 4.3–7.0% 4.0–7.4% 3.7–7.8% 3.2–8.6%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.7% 2.8–5.1% 2.6–5.5% 2.4–5.8% 2.0–6.6%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.7% 2.8–5.1% 2.6–5.5% 2.4–5.8% 2.0–6.6%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.3% 2.5–4.6% 2.2–5.0% 2.1–5.3% 1.7–6.0%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.1% 1.4–3.2% 1.3–3.5% 1.1–3.8% 0.9–4.4%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.1% 1.4–3.2% 1.3–3.5% 1.1–3.8% 0.9–4.4%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.0% 0.0–1.2% 0.0–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 83% 95% Median
5 12% 12% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 11% 100%  
3 88% 89% Median
4 0.8% 0.8%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.8% Median
2 1.4% 1.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.8% Median
2 1.4% 1.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations