Opinion Poll by IJEK for Utrip Družbe, 1–12 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 26.3% 23.8–28.9% 23.2–29.7% 22.6–30.3% 21.5–31.6%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 21.6% 19.4–24.1% 18.7–24.8% 18.2–25.5% 17.2–26.7%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.3% 6.0–9.0% 5.6–9.5% 5.3–9.9% 4.7–10.8%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.7% 5.4–8.3% 5.1–8.8% 4.8–9.2% 4.3–10.1%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 5.9% 4.7–7.4% 4.4–7.9% 4.1–8.3% 3.6–9.1%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.3% 4.2–6.8% 3.9–7.2% 3.6–7.6% 3.2–8.4%
Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.3% 4.2–6.8% 3.9–7.2% 3.6–7.6% 3.2–8.4%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.1% 4.0–6.6% 3.7–7.0% 3.4–7.4% 3.0–8.1%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.6–4.7% 2.3–5.1% 2.2–5.4% 1.8–6.1%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.6% 1.9–3.8% 1.7–4.1% 1.5–4.5% 1.3–5.1%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.6–3.9% 1.4–4.2% 1.1–4.8%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.9% 0.8–3.2% 0.6–3.7%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.9% 0.8–3.2% 0.6–3.7%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.4% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.6% 0.7–2.9% 0.5–3.4%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.4–3.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8% 0.3–2.1% 0.2–2.5%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6% 0.2–1.8% 0.1–2.2%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6% 0.2–1.8% 0.1–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 3 3 2–4
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 84% 100% Median
4 15% 15%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.3% 100%  
3 98% 98.7% Median
4 1.1% 1.1%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 91% 91% Median
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 82% 82% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 91% 91% Median
2 0% 0%  

Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 82% 82% Median
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations