Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 22–25 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 30.7% 28.1–33.4% 27.4–34.2% 26.8–34.9% 25.6–36.2%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 24.0% 21.7–26.6% 21.1–27.4% 20.5–28.0% 19.4–29.3%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 10.0% 8.5–11.9% 8.0–12.5% 7.7–13.0% 7.0–13.9%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.4% 6.1–9.1% 5.7–9.6% 5.4–10.1% 4.9–10.9%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.2% 5.0–7.8% 4.7–8.3% 4.4–8.7% 3.9–9.5%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 4.0–6.5% 3.7–6.9% 3.4–7.3% 3.0–8.1%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.4% 3.4–5.8% 3.2–6.2% 2.9–6.6% 2.5–7.3%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.6% 1.9–3.8% 1.7–4.1% 1.5–4.4% 1.2–5.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.2% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.6% 1.2–3.9% 1.0–4.5%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.9% 0.8–3.1% 0.6–3.7%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.9% 0.8–3.1% 0.6–3.7%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.4–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 83% 87% Median
5 4% 4% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 5% 100%  
3 80% 95% Median
4 15% 15%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 98.5% 99.3% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100% Last Result
1 72% 72% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 20%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 98.5% 99.3% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 20%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations