Opinion Poll by Valicon for TSmedia, 26–29 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 25.9% 24.5–27.4% 24.1–27.8% 23.8–28.2% 23.1–28.9%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 22.9% 21.6–24.3% 21.2–24.7% 20.9–25.1% 20.2–25.8%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 10.5% 9.5–11.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.1% 8.6–12.7%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 8.6% 7.7–9.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.1% 6.9–10.6%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.0–7.0%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.3–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.1% 4.5–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.7%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.8% 4.1–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.5–6.4%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.1% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.7%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.1% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.7%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.2%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 3 3–4 3–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 18% 100%  
4 82% 82% Median
5 0% 0% Majority

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 95% 100% Median
4 5% 5%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations