Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 6–9 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 28.5% 26.0–31.2% 25.2–31.9% 24.6–32.6% 23.5–33.9%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 20.1% 18.0–22.6% 17.3–23.3% 16.8–23.9% 15.8–25.1%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 10.2% 8.6–12.1% 8.2–12.7% 7.8–13.2% 7.1–14.1%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.5% 6.2–9.3% 5.8–9.8% 5.5–10.2% 4.9–11.1%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 7.1% 5.8–8.8% 5.5–9.3% 5.2–9.7% 4.6–10.6%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.5% 5.3–8.2% 4.9–8.6% 4.6–9.1% 4.1–9.9%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 4.9–7.7% 4.6–8.2% 4.3–8.6% 3.8–9.4%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.3% 3.3–5.7% 3.0–6.1% 2.8–6.4% 2.4–7.2%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.3% 2.4–4.5% 2.2–4.9% 2.0–5.2% 1.7–5.9%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.8% 2.1–4.1% 1.9–4.4% 1.7–4.7% 1.4–5.4%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9% 0.3–2.1% 0.2–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 42% 100%  
4 57% 58% Median
5 0.7% 0.7% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 52% 100% Median
3 48% 48%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.5% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 57% 57% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 40% 40%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 20%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.5% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 40% 40%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 57% 57% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations