Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 13–15 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 35.8% 33.0–38.7% 32.2–39.6% 31.5–40.3% 30.2–41.7%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 23.8% 21.4–26.6% 20.7–27.3% 20.1–28.0% 19.0–29.3%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 10.2% 8.5–12.2% 8.1–12.8% 7.7–13.3% 7.0–14.3%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 8.6% 7.1–10.5% 6.7–11.1% 6.4–11.6% 5.7–12.5%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 8.2% 6.7–10.1% 6.3–10.6% 6.0–11.1% 5.3–12.0%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.5% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.8% 5.4–10.3% 4.8–11.2%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.2% 0.9–3.4% 0.7–4.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.6% 0.6–2.9% 0.4–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 9% 100%  
4 83% 91% Median
5 8% 8% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 60% 100% Median
3 40% 40%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 31% 100% Last Result
1 69% 69% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100% Last Result
1 60% 60% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 63% 100% Last Result, Median
1 37% 37%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–1

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 63% 100% Last Result, Median
1 37% 37%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations