Opinion Poll by Parsifal SC for Nova24TV, 20–22 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 31.1% 28.7–33.7% 28.0–34.4% 27.4–35.0% 26.3–36.3%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 17.2% 15.3–19.4% 14.8–20.0% 14.3–20.5% 13.5–21.6%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.0% 7.6–10.7% 7.2–11.2% 6.9–11.6% 6.3–12.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.9% 6.6–9.6% 6.3–10.0% 6.0–10.4% 5.4–11.3%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.2% 6.0–8.8% 5.6–9.2% 5.3–9.6% 4.8–10.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.9% 3.9–6.3% 3.7–6.7% 3.4–7.0% 3.0–7.7%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.6% 3.6–5.9% 3.4–6.3% 3.1–6.6% 2.7–7.3%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 3.9% 3.0–5.1% 2.8–5.5% 2.6–5.8% 2.2–6.4%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.6–5.3% 2.4–5.6% 2.1–6.2%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.8% 2.1–3.9% 1.9–4.2% 1.7–4.5% 1.4–5.1%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.5% 1.8–3.5% 1.6–3.8% 1.5–4.1% 1.2–4.7%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3% 0.6–2.5% 0.4–3.0%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.3% 0.4–2.7%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.2–1.5% 0.1–1.9%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.2–1.5% 0.1–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 4 4–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.1% 100%  
4 94% 98.9% Median
5 5% 5% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 91% 99.7% Median
3 9% 9%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 99.4% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 88% 88% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 99.4% Median
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 88% 88% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations