Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 20–23 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 29.1% 26.6–31.8% 25.9–32.5% 25.3–33.2% 24.1–34.5%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 23.5% 21.2–26.1% 20.6–26.8% 20.0–27.4% 18.9–28.7%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.6% 7.1–10.4% 6.8–10.9% 6.4–11.4% 5.8–12.3%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.8% 4.6–7.3% 4.3–7.8% 4.1–8.2% 3.6–9.0%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.6% 4.5–7.1% 4.1–7.6% 3.9–8.0% 3.4–8.7%
Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.4% 4.3–6.9% 4.0–7.3% 3.7–7.7% 3.3–8.5%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.2% 4.1–6.7% 3.8–7.1% 3.6–7.5% 3.1–8.3%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.2% 4.1–6.7% 3.8–7.1% 3.6–7.5% 3.1–8.3%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.5–4.7% 2.3–5.0% 2.1–5.4% 1.8–6.1%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7–3.5% 1.5–3.8% 1.4–4.1% 1.1–4.8%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.6% 1.2–3.9% 1.0–4.5%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.4% 1.1–3.6% 0.9–4.2%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.0–1.1% 0.0–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 9% 100%  
4 87% 91% Median
5 4% 4% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 80% 97% Median
4 18% 18%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 89% 89% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 30% 30%  
2 0% 0%  

Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 24% 24%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 13%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.0% 1.0%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 24% 24%  
2 0% 0%  

Vladimir Prebilič (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 13%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 89% 89% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.0% 1.0%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations