Opinion Poll by Valicon for TSmedia, 24–26 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 26.6% 25.1–28.2% 24.7–28.7% 24.3–29.1% 23.6–29.8%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 19.7% 18.4–21.2% 18.0–21.6% 17.7–21.9% 17.1–22.6%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.8% 7.9–9.9% 7.7–10.2% 7.4–10.5% 7.0–11.0%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.4% 6.6–8.4% 6.3–8.7% 6.1–8.9% 5.7–9.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.2% 5.4–7.1% 5.2–7.3% 5.0–7.6% 4.6–8.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 5.5% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.4–6.8% 4.1–7.3%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.4% 4.2–6.6% 3.9–7.0%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.4% 3.7–6.8%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.4% 2.9–4.6% 2.8–4.8% 2.5–5.2%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.3–4.2% 2.1–4.6%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–2.8% 1.1–3.1%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–2.8% 1.1–3.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.6% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 0.9–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 40% 100%  
4 59% 60% Median
5 1.0% 1.0% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 18% 100%  
3 82% 82% Median
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 26%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations