Opinion Poll by IJEK for Utrip Družbe, 1–20 November 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 27.1% 24.0–30.5% 23.2–31.5% 22.5–32.3% 21.0–34.0%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 20.0% 17.3–23.2% 16.6–24.0% 15.9–24.8% 14.7–26.4%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.4% 7.5–11.8% 7.0–12.5% 6.6–13.1% 5.8–14.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.4% 5.8–9.7% 5.4–10.3% 5.0–10.9% 4.3–12.1%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.8% 5.3–9.0% 4.8–9.6% 4.5–10.2% 3.8–11.3%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.5% 4.1–7.5% 3.8–8.1% 3.5–8.6% 2.9–9.7%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.8% 3.6–6.8% 3.2–7.3% 3.0–7.8% 2.5–8.9%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.9% 2.8–5.7% 2.5–6.2% 2.2–6.6% 1.8–7.6%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.9% 2.8–5.7% 2.5–6.2% 2.2–6.6% 1.8–7.6%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.5% 2.5–5.3% 2.2–5.8% 2.0–6.2% 1.6–7.2%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.6% 1.8–4.1% 1.5–4.6% 1.3–5.0% 1.0–5.9%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.3% 1.5–3.8% 1.3–4.2% 1.1–4.6% 0.8–5.4%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.0–3.0% 0.8–3.4% 0.7–3.7% 0.5–4.5%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–1.0% 0.0–1.2% 0.0–1.7%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–1.0% 0.0–1.2% 0.0–1.7%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–1.0% 0.0–1.2% 0.0–1.7%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–1.0% 0.0–1.2% 0.0–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 91% 100% Median
4 9% 9%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 49% 100%  
3 50% 51% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 93% 99.8% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 93% 93% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Last Result, Median
1 48% 48%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result
1 50% 50% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 43% 43%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 93% 99.8% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 43% 43%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result
1 50% 50% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations