Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 22–27 November 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 28.5% 26.1–31.2% 25.4–31.9% 24.8–32.6% 23.6–33.9%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 20.7% 18.5–23.1% 17.9–23.8% 17.4–24.4% 16.4–25.6%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 7.2% 5.9–8.9% 5.6–9.4% 5.3–9.8% 4.7–10.7%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.2% 5.1–7.8% 4.7–8.3% 4.5–8.7% 3.9–9.5%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.2% 5.1–7.8% 4.7–8.3% 4.5–8.7% 3.9–9.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.5% 4.4–7.0% 4.1–7.4% 3.8–7.8% 3.3–8.6%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.5% 2.7–4.8% 2.4–5.2% 2.2–5.5% 1.9–6.2%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 3.5% 2.7–4.8% 2.4–5.2% 2.2–5.5% 1.9–6.2%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.3% 2.5–4.6% 2.3–4.9% 2.1–5.3% 1.8–5.9%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.8–4.2% 1.6–4.5% 1.3–5.2%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 2.1% 1.5–3.2% 1.3–3.5% 1.2–3.8% 1.0–4.4%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.3% 1.1–3.6% 0.8–4.1%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.2–2.8% 1.1–3.0% 0.9–3.3% 0.7–3.9%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.8% 1.2–2.8% 1.1–3.0% 0.9–3.3% 0.7–3.9%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.4% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.6% 0.7–2.8% 0.5–3.3%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3% 0.3–2.7%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3% 0.3–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 80% 97% Median
5 17% 17% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 52% 100% Median
3 46% 48%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 81% 81% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100% Last Result
1 78% 78% Median
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 40% 40%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Last Result, Median
1 32% 32%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 40% 40%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 81% 81% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations