Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 1–4 December 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 28.1% 25.7–30.7% 25.0–31.5% 24.4–32.1% 23.3–33.4%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 22.8% 20.6–25.3% 20.0–26.0% 19.4–26.6% 18.4–27.8%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.1% 6.8–9.8% 6.4–10.3% 6.1–10.8% 5.5–11.6%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.8% 4.7–7.4% 4.4–7.8% 4.1–8.2% 3.7–9.0%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.9% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.7% 3.4–7.1% 2.9–7.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 3.7–6.1% 3.4–6.5% 3.2–6.9% 2.8–7.6%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 3.7–6.1% 3.4–6.5% 3.2–6.9% 2.8–7.6%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 4.3% 3.4–5.7% 3.1–6.1% 2.9–6.4% 2.5–7.1%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.0% 2.3–4.2% 2.0–4.5% 1.9–4.8% 1.6–5.5%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.5% 1.8–3.6% 1.6–3.9% 1.4–4.2% 1.2–4.8%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 2.1% 1.5–3.1% 1.3–3.4% 1.2–3.7% 0.9–4.3%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.1% 1.5–3.1% 1.3–3.4% 1.2–3.7% 0.9–4.3%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.9–3.2% 0.7–3.7%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.5% 1.0–2.4% 0.9–2.7% 0.8–3.0% 0.6–3.5%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2% 0.5–2.5% 0.4–2.9%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.2% 0.3–2.7%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.3–1.9% 0.2–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 70% 94% Median
5 24% 24% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 69% 98% Median
4 29% 29%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Last Result, Median
1 34% 34%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Last Result, Median
1 34% 34%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations