Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 8–11 December 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 26.9% 24.5–29.6% 23.9–30.3% 23.3–30.9% 22.2–32.2%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 22.3% 20.1–24.8% 19.4–25.5% 18.9–26.1% 17.9–27.3%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.5% 7.1–10.3% 6.7–10.8% 6.4–11.3% 5.8–12.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.0% 5.7–8.6% 5.4–9.1% 5.1–9.5% 4.5–10.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.6% 5.4–8.2% 5.0–8.7% 4.8–9.1% 4.2–9.9%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.7% 3.7–6.1% 3.4–6.5% 3.1–6.8% 2.7–7.6%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.9% 3.0–5.2% 2.7–5.6% 2.5–5.9% 2.1–6.6%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.7% 2.8–5.0% 2.6–5.3% 2.4–5.7% 2.0–6.4%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 3.3% 2.5–4.5% 2.3–4.9% 2.1–5.2% 1.7–5.9%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.8–4.2% 1.6–4.5% 1.3–5.1%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 2.1% 1.5–3.2% 1.3–3.5% 1.2–3.8% 1.0–4.4%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.3% 1.1–3.5% 0.8–4.1%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.5% 0.9–2.8% 0.8–3.0% 0.6–3.6%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.2% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.3% 0.5–2.5% 0.4–3.0%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3% 0.3–2.7%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.0% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3% 0.3–2.7%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8% 0.3–2.0% 0.2–2.4%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 3 3 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 9% 100%  
4 91% 91% Median
5 0% 0% Majority

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.1% 100%  
3 97% 98.9% Median
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.9% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 80% 80% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.9% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations