Opinion Poll by IJEK for Utrip Družbe, 1–18 December 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 25.2% 23.0–27.7% 22.3–28.4% 21.8–29.0% 20.7–30.3%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 19.7% 17.7–22.1% 17.1–22.7% 16.6–23.3% 15.7–24.4%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 11.2% 9.6–13.1% 9.1–13.6% 8.8–14.1% 8.1–15.0%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.8% 5.6–8.4% 5.2–8.8% 5.0–9.2% 4.4–10.0%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 4.9–7.5% 4.6–8.0% 4.3–8.4% 3.8–9.1%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 5.1% 4.1–6.5% 3.8–7.0% 3.6–7.3% 3.1–8.0%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.9% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.7% 3.4–7.1% 3.0–7.8%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.0% 3.1–5.3% 2.9–5.7% 2.7–6.0% 2.3–6.7%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.5% 2.7–4.7% 2.4–5.1% 2.2–5.4% 1.9–6.0%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.6% 1.9–3.7% 1.7–4.0% 1.5–4.3% 1.3–4.8%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.2% 1.6–3.2% 1.4–3.5% 1.3–3.8% 1.0–4.4%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 2.2% 1.6–3.2% 1.4–3.5% 1.3–3.8% 1.0–4.4%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.6% 1.0–2.9% 0.9–3.1% 0.7–3.6%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.6% 1.0–2.9% 0.9–3.1% 0.7–3.6%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.9% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.4% 0.4–2.8%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.3–1.9% 0.2–2.3%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.2–1.6% 0.1–2.0%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.2–1.6% 0.1–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 51% 100% Median
4 49% 49%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 16% 100%  
3 84% 84% Median
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 63% 100% Median
2 37% 37%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Last Result, Median
1 45% 45%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 63% 100% Median
2 37% 37%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Last Result, Median
1 45% 45%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations