Opinion Poll by Mediana for RTV Slovenija, 15–18 December 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 28.4% 26.0–31.0% 25.3–31.7% 24.7–32.3% 23.6–33.6%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 23.5% 21.3–26.0% 20.7–26.7% 20.1–27.3% 19.1–28.5%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 7.6% 6.4–9.3% 6.0–9.8% 5.7–10.2% 5.1–11.1%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 4.8–7.5% 4.5–7.9% 4.3–8.3% 3.8–9.1%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.6% 4.5–7.1% 4.2–7.5% 3.9–7.9% 3.5–8.7%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 3.7–6.1% 3.4–6.4% 3.2–6.8% 2.8–7.5%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 4.1% 3.2–5.4% 2.9–5.8% 2.7–6.1% 2.3–6.8%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.3–4.9% 2.1–5.3% 1.8–5.9%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.2% 2.4–4.4% 2.2–4.7% 2.0–5.0% 1.7–5.7%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.2% 2.4–4.4% 2.2–4.7% 2.0–5.0% 1.7–5.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.6% 1.9–3.7% 1.7–4.1% 1.6–4.3% 1.3–4.9%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.6% 1.0–2.9% 0.9–3.2% 0.7–3.7%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.6% 1.0–2.9% 0.9–3.2% 0.7–3.7%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2% 0.5–2.4% 0.4–2.9%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2% 0.5–2.4% 0.4–2.9%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.6% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.2–1.6% 0.1–2.0%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.2% 0.1–1.3% 0.1–1.7%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9% 0.0–1.0% 0.0–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 4 4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 3 3 3–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.5% 100%  
4 99.3% 99.5% Median
5 0.2% 0.2% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 98% 100% Median
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 99.5% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 91% 91% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 99.5% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 91% 91% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

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