Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 12–14 January 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 28.7% 26.4–31.2% 25.8–31.9% 25.2–32.5% 24.2–33.7%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 21.6% 19.5–23.9% 19.0–24.5% 18.5–25.1% 17.5–26.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 9.2% 7.8–10.9% 7.4–11.4% 7.1–11.8% 6.5–12.7%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.0% 6.7–9.6% 6.4–10.1% 6.1–10.5% 5.5–11.3%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.5% 5.3–8.0% 5.0–8.4% 4.7–8.7% 4.3–9.5%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.3% 3.4–5.5% 3.1–5.9% 2.9–6.2% 2.5–6.9%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.1% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.7% 2.8–6.0% 2.4–6.7%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.4% 2.6–4.6% 2.4–4.9% 2.2–5.2% 1.9–5.8%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.2% 1.6–3.2% 1.4–3.5% 1.3–3.7% 1.1–4.3%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.6–3.2% 1.4–3.5% 1.3–3.7% 1.1–4.3%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.3% 1.2–3.5% 0.9–4.1%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.6% 1.0–2.9% 0.9–3.1% 0.7–3.6%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.4% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.4% 0.7–2.7% 0.5–3.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.4% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.4% 0.7–2.7% 0.5–3.1%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.5–2.2% 0.3–2.6%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.1%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.1%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–0.9% 0.0–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 85% 87% Median
5 3% 3% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 93% 94% Median
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 97% 98% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 84% 84% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 24% 24%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 84% 84% Median
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations