Opinion Poll by Mediana for RTV SLO, 12–15 January 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 27.1% 24.8–29.7% 24.1–30.4% 23.5–31.0% 22.5–32.3%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 22.1% 20.0–24.6% 19.4–25.2% 18.8–25.8% 17.8–27.0%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.5% 7.1–10.2% 6.7–10.7% 6.4–11.1% 5.8–12.0%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.8% 5.6–8.4% 5.3–8.9% 5.0–9.3% 4.5–10.1%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.0–7.6% 4.6–8.0% 4.4–8.4% 3.9–9.2%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.9% 4.8–7.4% 4.5–7.8% 4.2–8.2% 3.7–9.0%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.4% 3.5–5.8% 3.2–6.2% 3.0–6.5% 2.6–7.2%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.7% 2.8–5.0% 2.6–5.3% 2.4–5.6% 2.0–6.3%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.1% 2.4–4.3% 2.1–4.7% 2.0–5.0% 1.6–5.6%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7–3.5% 1.6–3.8% 1.4–4.1% 1.1–4.6%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.8% 1.1–3.1% 1.0–3.4% 0.8–3.9%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.5% 1.0–2.4% 0.9–2.7% 0.7–2.9% 0.6–3.4%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.2% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.7% 0.5–3.1%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.2% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.7% 0.5–3.1%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.9% 0.6–2.2% 0.5–2.4% 0.4–2.9%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.3–1.9% 0.2–2.3%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2% 0.1–1.3% 0.1–1.7%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2% 0.1–1.3% 0.1–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 3 3 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.3% 100%  
3 60% 98.7% Median
4 39% 39%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 95% 98% Median
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 31% 100% Last Result
1 69% 69% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Last Result, Median
1 39% 39%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 42% 100% Last Result
1 58% 58% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.0% 1.0%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 42% 100% Last Result
1 58% 58% Median
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 31% 100% Last Result
1 69% 69% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.0% 1.0%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations