Opinion Poll by IJEK for Utrip Družbe, 1–25 January 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 28.2% 25.3–31.4% 24.5–32.3% 23.8–33.0% 22.5–34.6%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 19.6% 17.1–22.5% 16.4–23.3% 15.9–24.0% 14.7–25.5%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.8% 7.2–11.1% 6.7–11.7% 6.3–12.2% 5.6–13.4%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 8.0% 6.4–10.1% 6.0–10.7% 5.6–11.3% 5.0–12.4%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.4% 5.0–8.3% 4.6–8.9% 4.3–9.4% 3.7–10.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 4.7–8.0% 4.4–8.6% 4.1–9.0% 3.5–10.0%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 3.8–6.8% 3.4–7.3% 3.2–7.7% 2.7–8.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.3% 2.4–4.9% 2.1–5.3% 1.9–5.7% 1.5–6.6%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.3% 2.4–4.9% 2.1–5.3% 1.9–5.7% 1.5–6.6%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.5–3.6% 1.3–3.9% 1.1–4.3% 0.9–5.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.2% 1.5–3.6% 1.3–3.9% 1.1–4.3% 0.9–5.0%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.7% 1.1–2.9% 0.9–3.2% 0.8–3.6% 0.6–4.3%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 1.4% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.9% 0.6–3.2% 0.4–3.9%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–2.2% 0.5–2.5% 0.4–2.8% 0.3–3.4%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1% 0.3–2.4% 0.2–3.0%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1% 0.3–2.4% 0.2–3.0%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.3% 0.1–1.1% 0.1–1.3% 0.1–1.5% 0.0–2.0%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–1.0% 0.0–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 16% 100%  
4 84% 84% Median
5 0.3% 0.3% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 91% 99.9% Median
3 9% 9%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 97% 98% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 98.6% 98.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 46%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 20%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 44% 44%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 97% 98% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 46%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 44% 44%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations