Opinion Poll by Valicon for TSmedia, 23–25 January 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 25.5% 24.1–27.1% 23.6–27.5% 23.3–27.9% 22.6–28.7%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 20.7% 19.4–22.2% 19.0–22.6% 18.7–23.0% 18.0–23.7%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.9% 8.9–11.0% 8.7–11.3% 8.4–11.6% 8.0–12.1%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 8.3% 7.4–9.3% 7.1–9.6% 7.0–9.9% 6.5–10.4%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 6.0% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.2% 4.9–7.4% 4.6–7.9%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.7% 4.1–5.5% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.0% 3.4–6.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.4% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.4% 3.4–5.6% 3.1–6.0%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.2% 2.8–4.4% 2.6–4.6% 2.4–5.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.0–4.5%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.4%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.1% 1.9–3.3% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.8%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.1% 1.9–3.3% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.8%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–2.9% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.4–3.5%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.3% 1.1–2.4% 0.9–2.7%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 71% 100% Median
4 29% 29%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 4% 100%  
3 96% 96% Median
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 100% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 98.6% 98.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 100% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations