Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Mladina, 26–27 January 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 28.1% 26.5–29.8% 26.1–30.3% 25.7–30.7% 24.9–31.5%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 23.8% 22.3–25.4% 21.9–25.9% 21.5–26.3% 20.8–27.1%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 7.9% 7.0–9.0% 6.8–9.3% 6.6–9.6% 6.1–10.1%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.6% 6.7–8.7% 6.5–9.0% 6.3–9.2% 5.9–9.8%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.6% 3.7–7.0%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.9% 4.2–5.8% 4.0–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.8%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.4% 3.7–5.2% 3.5–5.5% 3.4–5.7% 3.1–6.1%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.5–4.5% 2.2–4.9%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.6% 1.6–4.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–2.9% 1.1–3.2%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.6%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.9–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.9–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 3 3–4 3–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 95% 95% Median
5 0% 0% Majority

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 96% 100% Median
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 99.3% 99.3% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations