Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 26–29 January 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 28.4% 26.1–31.0% 25.4–31.7% 24.8–32.4% 23.7–33.6%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 19.6% 17.5–21.9% 16.9–22.5% 16.5–23.1% 15.5–24.2%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.3% 7.0–10.0% 6.6–10.5% 6.3–10.9% 5.7–11.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.8% 6.5–9.4% 6.1–9.9% 5.8–10.3% 5.3–11.2%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.1% 4.1–6.5% 3.8–6.9% 3.5–7.2% 3.1–8.0%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.1% 4.1–6.5% 3.8–6.9% 3.5–7.2% 3.1–8.0%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 3.6–5.9% 3.3–6.3% 3.1–6.6% 2.7–7.3%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.0% 3.1–5.3% 2.9–5.6% 2.7–6.0% 2.3–6.6%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.6% 2.8–4.9% 2.5–5.2% 2.4–5.5% 2.0–6.2%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.7% 2.0–3.8% 1.8–4.1% 1.7–4.4% 1.4–5.0%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.7% 2.0–3.8% 1.8–4.1% 1.7–4.4% 1.4–5.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.6% 1.0–2.8% 0.9–3.1% 0.7–3.6%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.5–3.1%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.5–3.1%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.3% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.5–3.1%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9% 0.4–2.1% 0.3–2.5%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.1% 0.1–1.3% 0.1–1.7%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9% 0.0–1.0% 0.0–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 4 4 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.8% 100%  
4 97% 99.2% Median
5 2% 2% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 73% 100% Median
3 27% 27%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 98.8% 99.1% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98.7% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 33% 100% Last Result
1 67% 67% Median
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 98.8% 99.1% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 33% 100% Last Result
1 67% 67% Median
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations