Opinion Poll by Parsifal SC for Nova24TV, 9–13 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 29.1% 26.7–31.7% 26.0–32.4% 25.4–33.0% 24.3–34.3%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 20.3% 18.2–22.6% 17.6–23.3% 17.1–23.9% 16.2–25.0%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.2% 6.9–9.9% 6.5–10.4% 6.2–10.8% 5.6–11.7%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.5% 6.2–9.1% 5.9–9.6% 5.6–10.0% 5.0–10.9%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.2% 5.1–7.7% 4.8–8.2% 4.5–8.6% 4.0–9.4%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.5–6.5% 3.3–6.9% 2.9–7.6%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.2% 3.3–5.5% 3.0–5.9% 2.8–6.2% 2.4–6.9%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.0% 3.1–5.3% 2.9–5.7% 2.7–6.0% 2.3–6.7%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.5% 2.7–4.7% 2.4–5.1% 2.2–5.4% 1.9–6.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7–3.4% 1.5–3.7% 1.4–4.0% 1.1–4.6%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.6–3.2% 1.4–3.5% 1.3–3.8% 1.0–4.4%
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.6% 1.0–2.9% 0.9–3.1% 0.7–3.6%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 1.5% 1.0–2.4% 0.9–2.6% 0.7–2.9% 0.6–3.4%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.5–3.1%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.5–3.1%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.9% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.4% 0.4–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 85% 94% Median
5 9% 9% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 35% 100%  
3 65% 65% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 84% 84% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 44% 44%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations