Opinion Poll by IJEK for Utrip Družbe, 1–14 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 28.3% 25.8–31.1% 25.0–31.9% 24.4–32.6% 23.2–34.0%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 21.5% 19.2–24.1% 18.5–24.8% 18.0–25.4% 16.9–26.7%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 7.5% 6.2–9.3% 5.8–9.8% 5.5–10.3% 4.9–11.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.3% 6.0–9.1% 5.6–9.6% 5.3–10.0% 4.7–10.9%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.2% 5.0–7.9% 4.6–8.4% 4.4–8.8% 3.8–9.7%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.9% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–6.9% 3.3–7.3% 2.9–8.1%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.5% 3.5–6.0% 3.2–6.4% 3.0–6.8% 2.5–7.6%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.2% 2.4–4.5% 2.1–4.9% 2.0–5.2% 1.6–6.0%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 2.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.8–4.4% 1.6–4.7% 1.3–5.4%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.8–4.4% 1.6–4.7% 1.3–5.4%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7–3.5% 1.5–3.9% 1.3–4.2% 1.1–4.8%
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 1.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.4% 1.0–3.6% 0.8–4.2%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.4% 1.0–3.6% 0.8–4.2%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.8% 1.0–3.1% 0.9–3.4% 0.7–3.9%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.5% 0.6–2.8% 0.4–3.3%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 0.9% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0% 0.3–2.2% 0.2–2.7%
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.0% 0.0–1.2% 0.0–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 18% 100%  
4 73% 82% Median
5 9% 9% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 35% 100%  
3 63% 65% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100% Last Result
1 55% 56% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100% Last Result
1 73% 73% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100% Last Result
1 65% 65% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 30% 30%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100% Last Result
1 65% 65% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100% Last Result
1 55% 56% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations