Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 23–26 February 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 30.9% | 28.5–33.4% | 27.8–34.2% | 27.2–34.8% | 26.1–36.0% |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0.0% | 22.5% | 20.3–24.8% | 19.7–25.5% | 19.2–26.1% | 18.2–27.2% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.8% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.3–8.8% | 5.0–9.2% | 4.5–10.0% |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.3–8.0% | 5.0–8.4% | 4.7–8.8% | 4.3–9.6% |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 6.0% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.6–7.8% | 4.3–8.2% | 3.8–9.0% |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0.0% | 4.9% | 3.9–6.3% | 3.6–6.7% | 3.4–7.0% | 3.0–7.7% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.8–5.5% | 2.6–5.8% | 2.2–6.4% |
| Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.5–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% | 2.1–5.2% | 1.8–5.8% |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.6% | 2.0–4.9% | 1.7–5.6% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% | 1.6–4.3% | 1.3–4.9% |
| Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% | 1.6–4.3% | 1.3–4.9% |
| Mi, socialisti! (*) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.5–3.1% | 1.3–3.4% | 1.2–3.6% | 1.0–4.2% |
| Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 0.9–2.3% | 0.8–2.5% | 0.7–2.7% | 0.5–3.2% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 0.9–2.3% | 0.8–2.5% | 0.7–2.7% | 0.5–3.2% |
| Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.0% | 0.3–2.5% |
| FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.3–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% | 0.2–2.2% |
| Glas upokojencev (*) | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% | 0.0–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mi, socialisti! (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Glas upokojencev (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 26% | 100% | |
| 5 | 74% | 74% | Median, Majority |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 89% | 95% | Median |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 81% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 19% | 19% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 25% | 25% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Resni.ca (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 6% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Mi, socialisti! (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Stranka ZAUPANJE (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka ZAUPANJE (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Glas upokojencev (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Resni.ca (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 6% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 25% | 25% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Mediana
- Commissioner(s): POP TV
- Fieldwork period: 23–26 February 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 570
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 4.16%