Opinion Poll by Parsifal SC for Nova24TV, 24–26 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 31.0% 28.5–33.5% 27.9–34.3% 27.3–34.9% 26.1–36.2%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 23.0% 20.8–25.3% 20.2–26.0% 19.7–26.6% 18.7–27.8%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 10.5% 9.0–12.3% 8.6–12.8% 8.2–13.3% 7.6–14.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 9.1% 7.7–10.8% 7.3–11.3% 7.0–11.8% 6.4–12.6%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.6% 3.7–6.0% 3.4–6.4% 3.2–6.7% 2.8–7.4%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.7% 2.9–5.0% 2.7–5.3% 2.5–5.7% 2.1–6.3%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.6% 2.7–4.8% 2.5–5.1% 2.3–5.4% 2.0–6.1%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.4% 2.6–4.6% 2.4–4.9% 2.2–5.2% 1.8–5.9%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.5% 1.8–3.6% 1.6–3.9% 1.5–4.1% 1.2–4.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.3% 1.7–3.4% 1.5–3.7% 1.4–3.9% 1.1–4.5%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.2% 1.1–3.5% 0.9–4.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.8% 0.9–3.0% 0.7–3.5%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 0.9% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.9% 0.4–2.1% 0.3–2.5%
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8% 0.2–2.2%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8% 0.2–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 4 3–4 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 3 2–3 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 95% 97% Median
5 2% 2% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 96% 97% Median
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98.7% 100% Median
2 1.2% 1.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 99.6% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98.7% 100% Median
2 1.2% 1.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations