Opinion Poll by Parsifal SC for Nova24TV, 6–10 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 30.0% 27.8–32.3% 27.2–32.9% 26.6–33.5% 25.6–34.6%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 23.1% 21.1–25.2% 20.5–25.8% 20.0–26.4% 19.1–27.4%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 9.3% 8.0–10.8% 7.6–11.3% 7.3–11.7% 6.7–12.5%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 7.6% 6.5–9.1% 6.1–9.5% 5.9–9.9% 5.3–10.6%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.1% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8% 3.7–7.1% 3.3–7.7%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.5–6.7% 3.1–7.4%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.6% 3.7–5.7% 3.4–6.1% 3.2–6.4% 2.9–7.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.8% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.3% 1.5–4.8%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.8% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.3% 1.5–4.8%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.5% 1.9–3.4% 1.7–3.7% 1.6–4.0% 1.3–4.5%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.6% 1.1–4.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.1% 0.8–3.5%
Glas upokojencev (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.5% 0.5–2.9%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9% 0.3–2.3%
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5% 0.2–1.8%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5% 0.2–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Glas upokojencev (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 26% 100%  
4 68% 74% Median
5 6% 6% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 78% 97% Median
4 19% 19%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 89% 89% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 12%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Glas upokojencev (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Glas upokojencev (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 89% 89% Median
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations