Opinion Poll by Mediana for RTV SLO, 9–12 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 31.1% 29.0–33.4% 28.4–34.1% 27.9–34.6% 26.8–35.7%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 25.1% 23.1–27.3% 22.6–27.9% 22.1–28.5% 21.2–29.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.5% 6.4–9.0% 6.1–9.4% 5.8–9.7% 5.3–10.4%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 6.6% 5.5–7.9% 5.2–8.3% 5.0–8.6% 4.5–9.3%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.2–7.1% 4.0–7.4% 3.6–8.0%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.6–6.3% 3.4–6.6% 3.0–7.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–6.0% 3.2–6.2% 2.8–6.8%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.5% 1.6–5.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–3.1% 1.5–3.4% 1.4–3.6% 1.1–4.1%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–3.1% 1.5–3.4% 1.4–3.6% 1.1–4.1%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.6% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.1% 0.9–3.5%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.8–3.4%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.9–2.7% 0.7–3.2%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8% 0.3–2.2%
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.6% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.4% 0.1–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 4 4–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 3 3–4 3–4
Demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.2% 100%  
4 96% 98.8% Median
5 3% 3% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 95% 100% Median
4 5% 5%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100% Last Result
1 98.7% 98.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 81% 81% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 81% 81% Median
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations