Opinion Poll by IJEK for Utrip Družbe, 1–10 April 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 28.0% | 25.9–30.3% | 25.3–30.9% | 24.7–31.5% | 23.7–32.6% |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0.0% | 26.4% | 24.3–28.6% | 23.7–29.3% | 23.2–29.8% | 22.2–30.9% |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0.0% | 7.6% | 6.4–9.0% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.8–9.8% | 5.3–10.5% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 7.0% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.5–8.8% | 5.3–9.1% | 4.8–9.9% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.2% | 5.2–7.6% | 4.9–8.0% | 4.6–8.3% | 4.2–9.0% |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0.0% | 5.3% | 4.4–6.6% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.9–7.3% | 3.5–8.0% |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.6–7.0% | 3.2–7.6% |
| Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.7–4.2% | 1.4–4.7% |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.7–4.2% | 1.4–4.7% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.6–4.0% | 1.3–4.5% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.3–2.6% | 1.1–2.9% | 1.0–3.1% | 0.8–3.6% |
| Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.5% | 0.5–2.9% |
| FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.5% | 0.5–2.9% |
| Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.5% | 0.2–1.9% |
| Mi, socialisti! (*) | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.5% | 0.2–1.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mi, socialisti! (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 25% | 100% | |
| 4 | 67% | 75% | Median |
| 5 | 8% | 8% | Majority |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 72% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 28% | 28% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 45% | 45% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 55% | 55% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Resni.ca (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 73% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 27% | 27% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij–Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Mi, socialisti! (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Levica (GUE/NGL)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 73% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 27% | 27% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Resni.ca (NI)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IJEK
- Commissioner(s): Utrip Družbe
- Fieldwork period: 1–10 April 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 675
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 5.29%