Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 8–10 June 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 28.3% | 26.1–30.7% | 25.5–31.3% | 24.9–31.9% | 23.9–33.1% |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0.0% | 26.6% | 24.4–28.9% | 23.8–29.6% | 23.3–30.1% | 22.3–31.3% |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0.0% | 9.1% | 7.8–10.7% | 7.4–11.1% | 7.1–11.6% | 6.5–12.4% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 8.8% | 7.5–10.3% | 7.1–10.8% | 6.8–11.2% | 6.2–12.0% |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.5% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.2–7.2% | 4.0–7.5% | 3.5–8.2% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 4.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.1–5.8% | 2.9–6.1% | 2.5–6.7% |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.7% | 2.3–6.3% |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.1–3.9% | 1.9–4.1% | 1.8–4.4% | 1.5–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 88% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 12% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Resni.ca (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Resni.ca (NI)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): Dnevnik
- Fieldwork period: 8–10 June 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 640
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.75%