Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 8–11 June 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 26.8% | 24.8–29.1% | 24.2–29.7% | 23.7–30.2% | 22.8–31.3% |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0.0% | 26.7% | 24.7–28.9% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.6–30.1% | 22.6–31.1% |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0.0% | 10.2% | 8.8–11.7% | 8.5–12.2% | 8.2–12.6% | 7.6–13.4% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 7.1% | 6.0–8.5% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.4–9.2% | 5.0–9.9% |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.0–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.5–8.0% | 4.0–8.6% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.1% | 4.2–6.4% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.7–7.0% | 3.4–7.7% |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0.0% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.6–5.4% | 2.3–6.0% |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.2% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.1–4.8% | 1.8–5.3% |
| Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.4–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 2.0–4.6% | 1.7–5.1% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.7–4.1% | 1.4–4.6% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.8–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.5–3.8% | 1.2–4.2% |
| Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 1.0–2.9% | 0.8–3.3% |
| FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.3% | 0.8–2.5% | 0.6–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 65% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 35% | 35% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 76% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 24% | 24% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.4% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 64% | 64% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 53% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 47% | 47% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 70% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 30% | 30% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Resni.ca (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.4% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 53% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 47% | 47% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Resni.ca (NI)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Mediana
- Commissioner(s): Delo
- Fieldwork period: 8–11 June 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 719
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.79%