Opinion Poll by IJEK for Utrip Družbe, 8–19 June 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 26.3% 24.0–28.9% 23.4–29.6% 22.8–30.2% 21.7–31.4%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 24.3% 22.1–26.8% 21.4–27.5% 20.9–28.1% 19.8–29.3%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.0% 7.6–10.8% 7.2–11.3% 6.9–11.7% 6.3–12.6%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.0% 5.8–8.6% 5.4–9.1% 5.1–9.5% 4.6–10.3%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 6.4% 5.3–8.0% 4.9–8.4% 4.7–8.8% 4.2–9.6%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.3% 5.1–7.8% 4.8–8.2% 4.5–8.6% 4.0–9.4%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.6% 3.6–6.0% 3.4–6.4% 3.1–6.7% 2.7–7.4%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.3% 2.5–4.5% 2.3–4.9% 2.1–5.2% 1.8–5.8%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.0–4.4% 1.8–4.7% 1.5–5.4%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.6% 1.9–3.7% 1.7–4.0% 1.5–4.3% 1.3–4.9%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7–3.5% 1.6–3.8% 1.4–4.1% 1.1–4.6%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.8% 1.1–3.1% 1.0–3.4% 0.8–3.9%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.2% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.6% 0.5–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 70% 100% Median
4 30% 30%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.0% 100%  
3 75% 99.0% Median
4 24% 24%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.7% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100% Last Result
1 65% 65% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 30% 30%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.7% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 30% 30%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

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