Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 6–9 July 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 25.9% 23.9–28.1% 23.4–28.7% 22.9–29.2% 21.9–30.3%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 21.9% 20.0–24.0% 19.5–24.6% 19.1–25.1% 18.2–26.1%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 7.4% 6.3–8.9% 6.0–9.3% 5.7–9.6% 5.3–10.3%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.9% 5.8–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.3–9.0% 4.8–9.7%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.5% 5.4–7.8% 5.2–8.2% 4.9–8.5% 4.5–9.2%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0.0% 6.3% 5.3–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.8–8.4% 4.3–9.0%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.4–6.5% 3.0–7.1%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.3% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.7% 3.0–6.0% 2.7–6.6%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.4% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.8% 2.3–5.0% 2.0–5.6%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.9% 2.2–3.9% 2.1–4.1% 1.9–4.4% 1.6–4.9%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.5% 1.9–3.4% 1.7–3.7% 1.6–3.9% 1.3–4.4%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5% 1.5–3.7% 1.2–4.2%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.6% 1.2–2.8% 1.1–3.0% 0.9–3.5%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.5% 0.6–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–5
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 66% 99.8% Median
4 34% 34%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.1% 100%  
3 83% 98.9% Median
4 15% 16%  
5 0.5% 0.5% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 33% 100% Last Result
1 67% 67% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 49% 52% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

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